I fully expect this to be the case, until a vaccine is available the virus will continue to spread. When that spread threatens to put too much strain on the NHS it's wise to take measures to ease that strain.
He said in the conference today it was due to rising hospital admissions and fears that the NHS would soon not be able to cope.
It's not wise to cause mass job losses in areas with low rates.
Rising hospital admissions due to covid or with the onset of a flu wave? Rise in hospital admissions with cases put back due to covid taking the beds?
Are his fears the NHS in Wales would soon not be able to cope due to his mis-management of NHS in Wales?
At the care home my mum is in, there have been 3 positive cases - all tested negative at care home and were hospitalised - a stroke and two heart attacks. Both tested positive for covid in hospital - little doubt it was picked up in UHW which would surprise nobody.
I'm in no way diminishing the pandemic. It's clearly out there and we need to be careful but there's a massive difference between dying with covid and dying because of covid.
From the Guardian...
"Commenting on the ONS figures showing that there have been 25,000 excess deaths registered in private homes in England this year (see
12.14pm),
Sir David Spiegelhalter, chairman of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge, said that most of these deaths were deaths that in normal circumstances would have occurred in hospital. He said:
Non-Covid deaths in hospital have correspondingly declined, suggesting most of these deaths would normally have occurred in hospital, and people have either been reluctant to go, discouraged from attending, or the services have been disrupted.
He added that it is “unclear how many of these lives could have been extended had they gone to hospital”."
I agree with local lockdowns; in England at the minute cities with large spikes in positive tests have seen the cases declining - could well be argued that spike coincided with uni students returning. Local lockdowns minimise the effect to those areas affected badly. Drakeford just wants a blanket thing which will damage Wales.